Son-In-Law Will Do Best For UK: Narayana Murthy On Rishi Sunak

NR Narayana Murthy, Infosys founder and father-in-law of next UK Prime Minister Rishi Sunak congratulated his son-in-law as he exuded confidence that the first Indian-origin PM will do his best for the people of the United Kingdom.

An Oxford, and Stanford University alumnae, Sunak is famously married to Akshata Murthy, the daughter of billionaire Narayana Murthy.
“Congratulations to Rishi. We are proud of him and we wish him success. We are confident he will do his best for the people of the United Kingdom,” Infosys founder said in a statement.

On Monday, Britain’s Conservative Party announced Rishi Sunak as their leader. Thereby, Rishi Sunak is now set to become the first Asian-origin person to lead the country.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi congratulated Rishi Sunak on Monday and said he is looking forward to working closely together on global issues.

“Warmest congratulations @RishiSunak! As you become UK PM, I look forward to working closely together on global issues, and implementing Roadmap 2030. Special Diwali wishes to the ‘living bridge’ of UK Indians, as we transform our historic ties into a modern partnership,” PM Modi tweeted.

Sunak’s change in fate was triggered by the resignation of Truss after her high-profile sacking and resignation in her cabinet, following a heavily criticized mini-budget that left the UK pound tumbling.

Following Truss’s short stint as British prime minister, Rishi Sunak and former Prime Minister Boris Johnson were seen as frontrunners for the UK PM bid.

But Boris Johnson ruled himself out of the Conservative party leadership race despite claiming he had the required support. The former UK PM said he had come to the conclusion that “this would simply not be the right thing to do” as “you can’t govern effectively unless you have a united party in Parliament.”

Sunak is born in Southampton to parents of Indian descent who migrated to Britain from East Africa.

Earlier in April, reports of Akshata’s non-domicile status and alleged tax evasion had created a furor. Sunak had said his wife has been paying all taxes. Her spokesperson had earlier said that Akshata Murthy “has always and will continue to pay UK taxes on all her UK income”. (ANI)

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Sensex Crosses 80000

Stock Market To Remain Volatile Ahead of Diwali Festival

By Gyanendra Kumar Keshri

Corporate earnings and the central bank’s action amid a slide in the value of the rupee are likely to keep the Indian equities markets’ key indices – Sensex and Nifty – volatile in the coming weeks ahead of the Diwali festival.

The country’s largest IT firm Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) is scheduled to kickstart the Q2 earnings season on October 10.

According to TCS earnings release, “Tata Consultancy Services Limited will announce its results for the Second Quarter of FY 2023, ended September 30, on Monday, October 10, 2022, after-market trading hours.”

It will be followed by the announcement of the quarterly results by other IT giants like Infosys, HCL Technologies, Wipro, and Tech Mahindra. HCL Technologies and Wipro are scheduled to announce Q2 results on October 12 followed by Infosys on October 13.

Markets will closely watch the profit margins and earnings forecasts by the IT giants, especially in view of the challenges being faced due to the US Federal Reserve action.

“High-frequency indicators point towards improvement in activity and the early trends of festive demand appears strong. As we enter the Q2FY23 earnings season, the focus would be on corporate commentary on demand and margins,” said Shibani Sircar Kurian, Senior EVP & Head- Equity Research, Kotak Mahindra Asset Management Company.

Going ahead, there are multiple global macro factors at play and higher interest rates and inflation are likely to be sticky in the developed world. Indian growth outlook appears stable and a relative outlier. However, given the outperformance of the Indian markets and with relative valuations appearing stretched, it is possible that markets see some volatility in the near term. In the medium term, the outlook for equity markets remains healthy, given the strength of domestic macro growth and corporate earnings trajectory, Kurian said.

During the week that ended Friday, the markets witnessed volatility. It started the week on a negative note but a rally in the middle of the week helped the key indices register decent gains.

The 30 stock S&P BSE Sensex ended the week at 58,191.29 points, registering a gain of 764.37 points or 1.33 percent during the week.

The broader Nifty 50 of the National Stock Exchange gained 220.3 points or 1.28 percent during the week. It closed at 17,314.65 points on Friday, the last trading day of the week.

On the last trading day of the week, the key indices witnessed selling pressure but turned flat towards the end of the day. However, the indices closed with marginal loss.

On Friday, Sensex closed 30.81 points or 0.05 percent lower, while Nifty ended the day with a loss of 17.15 points or 0.1 percent.

Besides corporate earnings, global developments will have a significant impact on the markets. In the past couple of weeks, the equities markets have been volatile mainly due to global developments.

The main factors to watch for are the likelihood of further aggressive tightening by the US Federal Reserve and the other central banks and the continuing depreciation of emerging market currencies, the potential for an economic slowdown in the global economy, according to Joseph Thomas, Head of Research, Emkay Wealth Management.

The Indian rupee has also been under pressure in line with the currencies of the other emerging markets. The rupee touched a fresh record low of 82.42 during the week. On October 7, the Indian rupee closed at 82.32 against the US dollar, which is 98 paise lower when compared with its September 30 closing of 81.34 against the US dollar.

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) seems to be burning its kitty to defend the currency. Due to the RBI action, the performance of the rupee has been much better than the currency of the other emerging markets.

However, the RBI’s action has taken a toll on the country’s foreign reserves. India’s foreign exchange (forex) reserves slumped by $4.854 billion to $532.664 billion for the week ended September 30, the lowest level since July 2020.

This is the lowest level of India’s forex reserves since the week ended July 24, 2020. The forex reserves had slumped by $8.134 billion during the previous reporting week.

As per the Reserve Bank of India’s weekly statistical supplement, foreign currency assets, which are the biggest component of the forex reserves, dipped by $4.406 billion to $472.807 billion during the week ended September 30.

“Indian equity markets remained volatile during the week. Despite the volatility, India continues to outperform MSCI emerging market and MSCI world indices. Growth in India has been resilient even as developed economies grapple with slowing growth and higher inflation,” said Kurian.

The US Federal Reserve remained hawkish and raised key policy rates 75 basis points or 0.75 percent recently. The monetary policy tightening stance of the US Fed resulted in a decline in the equities markets globally. It has also put pressure on emerging markets’ currencies.

In India, RBI hiked the policy repo rate by 50 basis points to 5.90 percent, largely in line with consensus expectations, continuing to frontload tightening to counter inflation risks.

Going ahead it is likely that RBI’s rate decision would be guided by domestic considerations whereby average CPI inflation is expected to moderate in FY24. Higher than-expected tightening by the US Fed and geopolitical uncertainties remain the key risks, Kurian remarked. (ANI)

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Why India Needs A Robust Research Base

An IIT Kharagpur graduate who through all semesters did exceedingly well finally left his mentor and teacher disappointed when instead of doing PhD and spending his life in research and furthering the frontiers of knowledge, he took up a job with a leading foreign owned FMCG group. Over the years, he became a senior vice president of there and was in contention for the office of chairman. He didn’t wait for the outcome of the final roulette. Instead he accepted directorship of Tata Sons, the holding company of all Tata enterprises from automobile to steel to information technology. A great success story in the corporate universe by any yardstick. But his late mentor would never hide his disappointment that the world of academia lost a potentially great researcher to the pull of corporate security and financial rewards.

What happened to this man some five decades ago is still a common occurrence in India. But this is not a unique Indian phenomenon. In developed economies too, many who would do well in pure science research are lured away by the corporate world. There, however, the problem is less acute. Senapathy Kris Gopalakrishnan, cofounder of Infosys and its CEO and managing director from 2007 to 2011, says the problem would not be manifest to the prevailing extent in India had the research ecosystem allowed people to take risks that will not lead to career ruination.

He himself asks the question and then gives the reply: “What is it that allows you to take risks and safely fail without it destroying your entire life? A lot of people tend to pick what is safe because that is more likely to be successful. There’s is a carefully chalked out path for research in academia and when it comes to innovation, we don’t try to be transformative, we try to be incremental. That’s because we are trained to be risk averse, and we recognise that consequences of failure can be very high.”

But times are changing, though not when it comes to undertaking highly time-consuming fundamental research. Let’s consider why are we seeing so many start-ups in the country and some of them becoming unicorns (a unicorn is a privately owned company with a valuation of over $1 billion) over a period of time? From Flipkart, a start-up that Walmart bought by paying $16 billion in 2018 May to hotel aggregator Oyo that is ready to make an IPO to raise over Rs8 billion, many new entrepreneurs have successfully promoted businesses making innovative use of internet and IT.

No doubt what has aided start-ups are family encouragement and funds availability first from venture capitalists (VCs) and then when incubation period is over from hosts of domestic and foreign investors. The media as it is its wont will highlight stories of successful start-ups. There are failures too, not meaning, however, the end of road for start-up founders. Gopalakrishnan wants the same to happen in the “academic and the research environment allowing one to take highly risky, ambitious projects and then try and succeed. Some of these are very long-term, so there’s a commitment required for maybe 10-20, sometimes 30 years.”

What family indulgence and VCs are doing to start-ups, patronage of the government and industry, both in the public and private sectors could do to bring about a fundamental change in the texture of research in India. Take our IT industry of whose rapidly growing turnover, exports and profits we remain boastful. The world is evolving from knowledge economy to the age of artificial intelligence and virtuality. Worth of our IT companies should be judged by their prowess in consulting and capacity to develop software for a variety of applications. As one observer rightly points out, “Indian IT groups are stuck as bottom-feeders, a breed of techno-coolies with no high-end development to claim credit.” The industry may, however, seek solace that TCS, Infosys, HCL Technologies, Wipro and Tech Mahindra find place in Thomson Reuters’ list of “Top 100 Global Tech Leaders.”

The Indian groups in the list are certainly not in the same league as Microsoft, Apple, IBM and Accenture and none of them regrettably is doing enough to get to the coveted position. Even then that Indians working in the West are among the best IT visionaries in the world are borne out by the likes of Satya Nadella, Sundar Pichai and Arvind Krishna guiding Microsoft, Google and IBM, respectively to future growth through robust investment in research and talent and encouraging researchers to take risks without being afraid of failures.

So given the kind of environment that creates a Satya or a Sundar, Indians working in India will be able to take the IT industry to a plane that will be in alignment with the best in the world. No doubt the realisation is donning on the industry here that its R&D needs reinforcing. But look at Infosys annual report – both in financial years ending 2020 and 2021, its allocation for R&D was just 0.6 per cent of revenue. Chairman Nandan M. Nilekani and CEO & MD Salil Parekh must address the issue forthwith. Leaders of other iconic Indian IT groups should also do the same.  

Companies whether in IT or in any other industry will not have to do all research work by themselves. Many of them are already assigning projects to IITs and research institutions and reaping benefits of such partnerships when research results are successfully commercialised.  What a phenomenal collaboration the world saw recently when AstraZeneca and Oxford University worked together for development and distribution of the “recombinant adenovirus vaccine aimed at preventing COVID-19 infection from SARS-CoV-2.”

A few years ago, India too has seen a major breakthrough in developing an early variety and very high sucrose content sugarcane first grown in Uttar Pradesh. The large scale cultivation of the new variety of sugarcane CO-0238 since its introduction in 2012-13 has made significant contribution to the country breaking cyclicality in sugar production to become an ever export surplus producer. Developed at the Indian Council of Scientific Research’s Sugarcane Breeding Centre at Coimbatore, the high-yielding seed is getting progressively introduced in many other sugarcane growing states. This remains a shining example of what an Indian research organisation is capable of doing when there is an ideal collaboration with the industry (in the present instance sugar factories represented by Indian Sugar Mills Association.)

Nobody will question the capacity of Indian scientists to deliver. The challenge is in making available sufficient resources and the right kind of infrastructure. Gopalakrishnan says: “We need to also think about mission-mode programmes with clear goals, ambitious targets and larger teams working on a problem.” The problem is inadequacy of funds for carrying out research work. Just about 0.7 per cent of the country’s GDP is spent on research and most of that coming from the government with a share of 0.6 per cent. Gopalakrishnan would like this to go up to 3per cent of GDP, contributed equally by the government and private sector.

That being said, he says: “We need more people getting into science and scientific research. This has to start from school. We need to create curiosity in children to taken on careers in research, etcetera. Second, we need to ensure that we have enough students getting into PhD programmes. We need to have some mission for the nation to look at certain areas where we direct scientific infrastructure…” The two important goals that the country wants to pursue vigorously are “Aatmanirbhar Bharat” and “Make in India” for the domestic and world markets. To make a success of these, the country first needs a robust research base.